Oberliga Hessen. Jor. 18

Adler Weidenhausen vs Bayern Alzenau analysis

Adler Weidenhausen Bayern Alzenau
15 ELO 26
-0.7% Tilt -0.1%
8326º General ELO ranking 6999º
371º Country ELO ranking 272º
ELO win probability
13.6%
Adler Weidenhausen
16.6%
Draw
69.9%
Bayern Alzenau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
Adler Weidenhausen
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69.8%
Win probability
Bayern Alzenau
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adler Weidenhausen
+41%
+53%
Bayern Alzenau

Points and table prediction

Adler Weidenhausen
Their league position
Bayern Alzenau
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
17º
14º
47
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Frankfurt II
89
89
100%
FC Giessen
82
82
100%
Türkgücü Friedberg
70
70
100%
Fernwald
69
69
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
65
65
100%
KSV Baunatal
62
62
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
60
60
100%
FC Hanau 93
55
58
100%
SV Steinbach 1920
52
52
100%
FC Erlensee
10º
49
49
10º
70%
Eddersheim
11º
47
47
11º
52%
Bayern Alzenau
12º
47
47
12º
52%
Waldgirmes
13º
46
46
13º
52%
Adler Weidenhausen
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Viktoria Griesheim
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Dietkirchen
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Unter-Flockenbach
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Neuhof
19º
37
37
18º
0%
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
18º
37
37
19º
0%
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Adler Weidenhausen
Bayern Alzenau
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Adler Weidenhausen
Bayern Alzenau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adler Weidenhausen
Adler Weidenhausen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2022
VIK
Viktoria Griesheim
1 - 1
Adler Weidenhausen
SVA
71%
15%
13%
15 19 4 0
22 Oct. 2022
DIE
Dietkirchen
1 - 1
Adler Weidenhausen
SVA
53%
20%
26%
15 16 1 0
15 Oct. 2022
SVA
Adler Weidenhausen
2 - 0
Neuhof
NEU
39%
23%
38%
14 16 2 +1
08 Oct. 2022
FER
Fernwald
6 - 2
Adler Weidenhausen
SVA
86%
9%
5%
15 26 11 -1
03 Oct. 2022
SVA
Adler Weidenhausen
1 - 2
Waldgirmes
WAL
18%
18%
65%
15 21 6 0

Matches

Bayern Alzenau
Bayern Alzenau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
4 - 1
Dietkirchen
DIE
78%
13%
9%
25 16 9 0
23 Oct. 2022
NEU
Neuhof
1 - 2
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
13%
17%
70%
25 15 10 0
19 Oct. 2022
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
2 - 2
Unter-Flockenbach
SUF
79%
13%
8%
25 16 9 0
15 Oct. 2022
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
1 - 1
Fernwald
FER
43%
21%
36%
25 27 2 0
08 Oct. 2022
WAL
Waldgirmes
0 - 3
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
39%
23%
39%
24 21 3 +1
X