FC Grimma vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
16º
12º
55
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
SVG
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 2
RSV
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AUE
4 - 3
SVG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SVG
1 - 1
MAG
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 2
SVG
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GER
1 - 1
VFB
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 1
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 0
LFC
80%
12%
7%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RSV
0 - 0
VFB
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 1
SCF
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |