K League 1 round 3

Suwon FC vs Gwangju FC analysis

Suwon FC Gwangju FC
72 ELO 77
4.9% Tilt 7.7%
1089º General ELO ranking 1069º
17º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
35.8%
Suwon FC
27%
Draw
37.2%
Gwangju FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
Suwon FC
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.2%
Win probability
Gwangju FC
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Suwon FC
-6%
-2%
Gwangju FC

ELO progression

Suwon FC
Gwangju FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suwon FC
Suwon FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2016
SUW
Suwon FC
1 - 1
Seongnam FC
SEO
33%
29%
38%
67 77 10 0
13 Mar. 2016
CDR
Jeonnam Dragons
0 - 0
Suwon FC
SUW
51%
25%
24%
67 70 3 0
10 Feb. 2016
PER
Amkar Perm
1 - 2
Suwon FC
SUW
61%
23%
17%
68 81 13 -1
09 Feb. 2016
FCR
FK Rostov
0 - 2
Suwon FC
SUW
63%
21%
15%
68 82 14 0
06 Feb. 2016
SPA
Spartak Moskva
2 - 0
Suwon FC
SUW
70%
19%
12%
68 84 16 0

Matches

Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2016
GWA
Gwangju FC
1 - 0
Jeju United
JEJ
34%
29%
38%
70 76 6 0
12 Mar. 2016
POH
Pohang Steelers
3 - 3
Gwangju FC
GWA
68%
20%
12%
70 82 12 0
28 Nov. 2015
GWA
Gwangju FC
2 - 1
Daejeon Citizen
DCI
34%
27%
39%
77 77 0 -7
22 Nov. 2015
GWA
Gwangju FC
0 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
37%
27%
35%
77 77 0 0
07 Nov. 2015
CDR
Jeonnam Dragons
2 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
43%
27%
30%
77 77 0 0