Sutton United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
SUT
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 2
SUT
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 0
OXF
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 1
SUT
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 1
SUT
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
WRE
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
WRE
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
WRE
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 2
TAM
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
AFC
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |