FA Trophy . 1/16
Global 5-4
Sutton United vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SUT
1 - 1
EAS
47%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 3
SUT
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 2
SUT
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
SUT
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SUT
0 - 0
AFC
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 3
LEI
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 2
SUT
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
6 - 0
CAN
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
WOR
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOG
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |