Sutton United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
SUT
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
OPA
0 - 2
SUT
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
4 - 3
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 2
SUT
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUT
4 - 0
CUM
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 3
SWI
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
SWI
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
0 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |