National League South Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Sutton United vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 1
SUT
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 3
SUT
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BIS
1 - 2
SUT
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
3 - 1
EBB
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 1
SUT
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HAY
1 - 2
DOV
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 1
WHI
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
DOV
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 0
DOV
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |