FA Cup . 1/256
Global 4-2
Sutton Coldfield Town vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
SUT
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
SUT
3 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 2
SUT
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 0
BED
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 2
ROM
76%
14%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
SUT
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
SUT
3 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
RAI
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHA
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LEE
2 - 1
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |