Sutjeska vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOV
1 - 2
SUT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 3
RUD
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
SUT
0 - 3
SHF
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SHF
2 - 0
SUT
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SUT
4 - 0
DEC
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
MLA
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
5 - 1
BER
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
BER
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
BER
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
ZET
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |