Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda. Final
Global 0-3
Sutjeska vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
AST
1 - 0
SUT
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 3
SUT
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
RUD
2 - 1
SUT
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SUT
1 - 1
GRB
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 0
SHA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
AST
1 - 0
SUT
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
0 - 0
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AST
5 - 3
ORD
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
KAI
1 - 2
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |