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NPFL. Matchday 33

Sunshine Stars vs Crown analysis

Sunshine Stars Crown
34 ELO 28
31% Tilt -75%
4448º General ELO ranking 18344º
Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
78.8%
Sunshine Stars
17.4%
Draw
3.9%
Crown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
Sunshine Stars
1.93
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.2%
+5
2.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
21.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
24.7%
1-0
22%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
17.4%
3.9%
Win probability
Crown
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sunshine Stars
+4%
-34%
Crown

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kano Pillars
65
65
100%
Enyimba
64
64
100%
Warri Wolves FC
61
61
50%
Nasarawa United
61
61
50%
Giwa
59
59
50%
Lobi Stars
59
59
50%
Abia Warriors
58
58
50%
Enugu Rangers
58
58
50%
Dolphin Port Harcourt
55
55
50%
Heartland Owerri
10º
55
55
10º
50%
Sunshine Stars
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Taraba
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Sharks
13º
52
52
13º
100%
El Kanemi Warriors
14º
51
51
14º
33%
Bayelsa United
15º
51
51
15º
33%
Akwa United
16º
51
51
16º
33%
Gombe United
17º
50
50
17º
100%
Crown
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Kaduna United FC
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Nembe City FC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sunshine Stars
Crown
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Sunshine Stars
SUN
Crown
CRO
Enugu Rangers
ENU
Sharks
SHA
Gombe United
GOM
Warri Wolves FC
WAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sunshine Stars
Sunshine Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO SUN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
HEA
Heartland Owerri
3 - 0
Sunshine Stars
SUN
46%
27%
26%
455 496 41 -3
08 Oct. 2014
SUN
Sunshine Stars
3 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
49%
26%
25%
452 337 115 +3
05 Oct. 2014
BAY
Bayelsa United
2 - 0
Sunshine Stars
SUN
46%
27%
28%
455 391 -64 -3
28 Sep. 2014
SUN
Sunshine Stars
0 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
49%
26%
25%
456 344 112 0
24 Sep. 2014
TAR
Taraba
2 - 2
Sunshine Stars
SUN
41%
28%
31%
456 385 -71 0

Matches

Crown
Crown
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
CRO
Crown
1 - 1
Giwa
GIW
46%
27%
28%
348 404 -56 0
08 Oct. 2014
KAN
Kano Pillars
3 - 2
Crown
CRO
47%
27%
26%
349 486 137 -2
05 Oct. 2014
CRO
Crown
0 - 0
Enyimba
ENY
40%
28%
32%
349 576 -227 0
28 Sep. 2014
NEM
Nembe City FC
1 - 1
Crown
CRO
44%
27%
29%
349 349 0 0
24 Sep. 2014
CRO
Crown
1 - 0
El Kanemi Warriors
ELK
46%
27%
28%
347 407 -60 +2