Sunflower State FC vs Arkansas Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arkansas Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DEM
2 - 1
AWF
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
DCF
2 - 4
AWF
28%
21%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RFK
3 - 4
AWF
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
AWF
2 - 3
DEM
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
AWF
3 - 0
DCF
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |