FA Cup . 1/32

Sunderland vs Crystal Palace analysis

Sunderland Crystal Palace
76 ELO 73
-14.1% Tilt -4.3%
458º General ELO ranking 71º
30º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
45.2%
Sunderland
25.6%
Draw
29.2%
Crystal Palace

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
Sunderland
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.2%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2005
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
69%
20%
10%
75 57 18 0
01 Jan. 2005
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 2
Sunderland
SUN
40%
26%
34%
76 66 10 -1
28 Dec. 2004
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
Sunderland
SUN
32%
27%
41%
76 63 13 0
26 Dec. 2004
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 3
Leeds United
LEE
41%
27%
32%
76 77 1 0
18 Dec. 2004
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 1
Burnley
BUR
59%
25%
17%
76 66 10 0

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2005
CRY
Crystal Palace
2 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
28%
27%
45%
73 84 11 0
01 Jan. 2005
FUL
Fulham
3 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
59%
22%
19%
73 83 10 0
28 Dec. 2004
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
69%
18%
13%
73 84 11 0
26 Dec. 2004
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 1
Portsmouth
OPA
36%
27%
37%
74 80 6 -1
18 Dec. 2004
MUD
Manchester United
5 - 2
Crystal Palace
CRY
80%
13%
7%
74 93 19 0
X