Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRY
3 - 1
SUN
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
SUN
4 - 2
MKD
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SUN
0 - 1
FUL
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SUN
0 - 1
MAC
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
TOT
53%
23%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
FEN
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FUL
1 - 3
ARS
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 3
ARS
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |