Switzerland U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2002 |
PRT
0 - 2
CHE
70%
18%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 1
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
RUS
3 - 3
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
LUX
0 - 3
CHE
27%
23%
49%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 2
SYM
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 1
ENG
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 1
PRT
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
DEU
2 - 1
ITA
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 3
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |