Sweden U19s vs England U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 0
AND
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 2
SWE
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SWE
1 - 2
UKR
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SWE
4 - 0
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SVN
2 - 2
SWE
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ENG
0 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ENG
4 - 0
AND
88%
10%
3%
|
68 | 18 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BIH
1 - 4
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ENG
5 - 0
MKD
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
ENG
4 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
2%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |