Sweden U19s vs Belgium U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 1
SWE
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 0
BLR
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 3
RUS
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 1
LTU
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 2
BLR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
9 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
LTU
2 - 2
BEL
13%
19%
68%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 0
BEL
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |