Süderelbe vs Dassendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
7º
74
1º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
SUD
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
7 - 0
HAM
39%
21%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NIE
6 - 2
SUD
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 2
PAL
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SAS
4 - 0
SUD
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dassendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 1
RUG
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
2 - 1
DAS
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 2
WAN
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
EIM
3 - 0
DAS
27%
23%
51%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DAS
0 - 1
OTT
56%
21%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |