Sudan U20s vs Kenya U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
3 - 0
REA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
0 - 0
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
JOR
0 - 0
REA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
REA
0 - 3
SAU
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
REA
3 - 2
KUW
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 3
EGY
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
KEN
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
CMR
2 - 0
KEN
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
KEN
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 3
JAP
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |