Sud América vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 0
SUD
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 4
RAC
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
SUD
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 0
CSY
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
CSM
3 - 0
SUD
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
ATE
1 - 0
PRO
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 4
LUZ
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 2
UMO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 1
PRO
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |