Sud América vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CSM
0 - 1
SUD
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SUD
2 - 0
REN
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
SUD
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SUD
1 - 1
CEL
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 1
SUD
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 1
ALB
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CSY
2 - 1
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 1
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ORI
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 1
CSC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |