Segunda Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Sud América vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
SUD
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SUD
0 - 2
ALB
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
1 - 3
SUD
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SUD
1 - 2
TAC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
SUD
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
1 - 0
JUV
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ATE
2 - 3
JUV
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
CSY
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |