Sud América vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 0
SUD
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 3
SUD
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 1
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 2
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 1
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 2
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 4
RIV
37%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
LFC
5 - 2
FEN
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 3
CSC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |