Sud América vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 4
SUD
5%
11%
84%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ATE
1 - 2
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 0
SUD
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 1
PRO
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 0
SUD
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CER
3 - 1
UMO
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 2
CER
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ATE
0 - 0
CER
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
CER
3 - 0
LUZ
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |