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Apertura Uruguay. Matchday 4

Sud América Cerrito
47 ELO 43
10% Tilt 76%
1460º General ELO ranking 1792º
18º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Sud América
22.7%
Draw
37.9%
Cerrito

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Sud América
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.9%
Win probability
Cerrito
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Basic stats

51
49
POS
8
10
SOT
2
2
COR
24
23
FRK
47
43
ELO
1.7
1.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sud América
Their league position
Cerrito
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected probabilities
Sud América
Cerrito