Sud América vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
SUD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SUD
1 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
CSY
0 - 0
SUD
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SUD
2 - 2
DEP
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
SUD
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
BVS
2 - 4
ATE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 0
BVS
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BVS
0 - 3
DEP
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
BVS
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BVS
2 - 2
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |