1a Apertura Finals . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Suchitepequez vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suchitepequez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DBC
0 - 2
VEN
30%
22%
49%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
VEN
4 - 2
DBC
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 3
VEN
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 0
VEN
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAC
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JUP
2 - 0
AUR
43%
28%
30%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZAC
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |