Subiza vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 2
SUB
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SUB
1 - 1
CDA
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 1
SUB
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OSA
2 - 0
SUB
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
SUB
3 - 0
CDC
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
OSA
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 3
PEÑ
9%
17%
74%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
AVA
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 5
PEÑ
15%
22%
64%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
HUA
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |