Subiza vs Cantolagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SUB
1 - 1
CAN
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BET
1 - 4
SUB
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SUB
3 - 1
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
SUB
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SUB
4 - 0
GAR
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SUB
1 - 1
CAN
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
BET
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 3
CAN
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |