Subingen vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
67%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
4 - 2
SUB
84%
10%
5%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SUB
1 - 1
LER
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ALL
4 - 1
SUB
89%
9%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SUB
0 - 4
LIE
8%
13%
79%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MUT
3 - 0
SUB
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 4
FCK
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 3
THU
3%
9%
88%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BIN
0 - 1
MOU
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 3
TIM
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 1
MOU
43%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |