Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
SUB
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BAY
3 - 1
SUB
51%
26%
24%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SUB
2 - 0
BAL
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 42 | -4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FLO
0 - 2
SUB
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 2
ECU
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perth SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PER
4 - 0
BAL
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
PER
0 - 3
PER
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 53 | -6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 1
PER
39%
28%
32%
|
47 | 30 | -17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PER
5 - 0
SOR
46%
27%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ING
3 - 2
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 41 | -6 | 0 |