Dives vs Gonfreville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
10º
31
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
DIV
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRQ
1 - 2
DIV
31%
21%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DIV
0 - 1
SAI
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 1
DIV
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DIV
3 - 0
MGA
65%
18%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gonfreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GON
1 - 3
AGC
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
GON
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRQ
1 - 2
GON
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 2
LEH
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
GON
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |