Stuttgart vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AUG
1 - 0
STU
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STU
1 - 3
BYM
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 2
STU
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
STU
0 - 2
LEV
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ING
3 - 3
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
HER
0 - 3
BVB
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BVB
3 - 0
HSV
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
LIV
4 - 3
BVB
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
S04
2 - 2
BVB
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BVB
1 - 1
LIV
65%
20%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |