Bundesliga . Jor. 14

Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen analysis

Stuttgart B. Leverkusen
86 ELO 92
3.7% Tilt 17.8%
71º General ELO ranking 11º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.2%
Stuttgart
23.4%
Draw
52.3%
B. Leverkusen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
Stuttgart
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.4%
Win probability
B. Leverkusen
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stuttgart
+23%
+16%
B. Leverkusen

Points and table prediction

Stuttgart
Their league position
B. Leverkusen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen
76
89
100%
Bayern München
63
76
95%
Stuttgart
63
70
63.5%
RB Leipzig
56
66
48.5%
B. Dortmund
56
66
58.5%
SC Freiburg
39
47
51.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt
42
46
38%
FC Augsburg
39
43
27%
Hoffenheim
36
42
29%
Heidenheim
10º
34
39
10º
22.5%
B. Mönchengladbach
11º
31
38
11º
20.5%
Werder Bremen
12º
31
38
12º
23.5%
Union Berlin
13º
29
36
13º
20%
Wolfsburg
14º
28
35
14º
18.5%
Mainz 05
16º
26
31
15º
17.5%
VfL Bochum
15º
27
31
16º
28.5%
Köln
17º
22
29
17º
66.5%
Darmstadt 98
18º
14
18
18º
98%
Expected probabilities
Stuttgart
B. Leverkusen
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
90.5% 0%
Europa League
9.5% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stuttgart
B. Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
B. Dortmund
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 0
B. Dortmund
BVB
14%
18%
68%
85 93 8 0
02 Dec. 2023
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
56%
21%
23%
85 80 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 2
Stuttgart
STU
48%
24%
27%
85 88 3 0
16 Nov. 2023
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
71%
17%
12%
85 72 13 0
11 Nov. 2023
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
17%
19%
64%
84 92 8 +1

Matches

B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
80%
13%
7%
91 77 14 0
03 Dec. 2023
LEV
B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
34%
23%
43%
91 93 2 0
30 Nov. 2023
HÄC
Häcken
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen
LEV
16%
20%
64%
91 80 11 0
25 Nov. 2023
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen
LEV
16%
21%
64%
91 80 11 0
12 Nov. 2023
LEV
B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
66%
20%
14%
91 85 6 0
X