Sturm Graz vs Union Gamlitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
18.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.4%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
16%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
6.6%
1%
Win probability
0.18
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
STR
5 - 1
SVE
90%
9%
2%
|
79 | 21 | 58 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AWM
0 - 2
STR
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
STR
1 - 2
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
STR
2 - 5
AWM
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAS
2 - 0
STR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
DLB
4 - 1
UGA
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
5 - 3
LBN
17%
19%
65%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
VOI
4 - 1
UGA
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 2
HGK
17%
17%
66%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 0
UGA
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |