Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
27
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FEY
6 - 0
STR
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 2
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STR
0 - 0
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 1
LAS
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 2
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WIE
2 - 0
SCA
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 6
RBS
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
SCA
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |