Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-7
Sturm Graz vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
SKA
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 1
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
LAS
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 3
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
STR
3 - 0
STR
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 1
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
PSV
1 - 0
NTT
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
PSV
3 - 1
EIN
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |