Strasbourg vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
STR
1 - 0
FCM
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
STR
2 - 0
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
FCG
0 - 0
STR
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
STR
1 - 0
AMI
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
GRE
0 - 3
STR
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 0
LMU
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LMU
2 - 3
BAS
25%
26%
50%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
LMU
1 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
LMU
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
LMU
2 - 2
ASB
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |