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Ligue 1. Matchday 38

Strasbourg Lorient
68 ELO 67
-14% Tilt -15%
268º General ELO ranking 280º
14º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Strasbourg
28.1%
Draw
22.6%
Lorient

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
Strasbourg
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.6%
Win probability
Lorient
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Strasbourg
+16%
+14%
Lorient

Basic stats

51
49
POS
6
7
SOT
2
3
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
13
24
FRK
68
67
ELO
1.3
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Strasbourg
Their league position
Lorient
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
13º
20º
16º
42
19º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lille
83
83
100%
PSG
82
82
100%
Monaco
78
78
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
76
76
100%
Olympique Marseille
60
60
100%
Stade Rennais
58
58
100%
Lens
57
57
100%
Montpellier
54
54
100%
Nice
52
52
100%
Metz
10º
47
47
10º
100%
Saint-Étienne
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Angers SCO
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Stade de Reims
14º
42
42
14º
33%
Strasbourg
15º
42
42
15º
33%
Lorient
16º
42
42
16º
33%
Stade Brestois
17º
41
41
17º
100%
Nantes
18º
40
40
18º
100%
Nîmes
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Dijon FCO
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Strasbourg
Lorient
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
UCL qualifying
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lorient
LOR
Strasbourg
STR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO STR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2021
NIC
Nice
0 - 2
Strasbourg
STR
51%
25%
24%
1808 1977 169 +21
09 May. 2021
STR
Strasbourg
2 - 3
Montpellier
MPL
39%
28%
33%
1818 2127 -309 -10
30 Apr. 2021
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
62%
22%
17%
1812 2401 589 +6
25 Apr. 2021
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Nantes
NAN
46%
27%
27%
1823 1970 -147 -11
18 Apr. 2021
NÎM
Nîmes
1 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
39%
27%
34%
1825 1453 -372 -2

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO LOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2021
LOR
Lorient
2 - 1
Metz
MET
47%
27%
26%
1807 1768 39 +10
08 May. 2021
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
4 - 1
Lorient
LOR
79%
14%
7%
1812 2903 1091 -5
02 May. 2021
LOR
Lorient
2 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
47%
27%
26%
1796 1868 -72 +16
25 Apr. 2021
LOR
Lorient
4 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
42%
27%
31%
1774 2056 -282 +22
17 Apr. 2021
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 2
Lorient
LOR
62%
22%
17%
1780 2382 602 -6