Strasbourg vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
CLE
3 - 0
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
STR
2 - 2
SED
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
STR
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
ARL
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
AJA
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 0
CAE
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
ARL
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
21%
25%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
DIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |