Scottish League Two . Jor. 21

Stranraer vs Albion Rovers analysis

Stranraer Albion Rovers
43 ELO 45
7.9% Tilt 10.6%
5431º General ELO ranking 4717º
58º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
51%
Stranraer
23.2%
Draw
25.8%
Albion Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.8%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
+7%
-21%
Albion Rovers

Points and table prediction

Stranraer
Their league position
Albion Rovers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
36
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stirling Albion
73
76
100%
Dumbarton
61
62
100%
Annan Athletic
51
52
66%
East Fife
50
51
66%
Forfar Athletic
45
46
48%
Stenhousemuir
44
45
38%
Stranraer
44
45
60.5%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
42
58.5%
Elgin City
40
40
58.5%
Albion Rovers
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stranraer
Albion Rovers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Stranraer
Albion Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
STE
Stenhousemuir
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
49%
23%
28%
45 46 1 0
23 Dec. 2022
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 - 2
Stranraer
STR
56%
21%
23%
46 47 1 -1
03 Dec. 2022
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
31%
26%
44%
44 53 9 +2
26 Nov. 2022
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Annan Athletic
BLA
40%
24%
35%
44 47 3 0
19 Nov. 2022
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
41%
24%
35%
45 44 1 -1

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
0 - 4
Albion Rovers
ALB
70%
17%
12%
41 48 7 0
31 Dec. 2022
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
19%
22%
59%
42 52 10 -1
23 Dec. 2022
BLA
Annan Athletic
5 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
65%
19%
16%
43 47 4 -1
03 Dec. 2022
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
44%
24%
31%
44 43 1 -1
26 Nov. 2022
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Stirling University
STI
44%
24%
32%
45 43 2 -1
X