FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 3-4
Stowmarket Town vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stowmarket Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 1
STO
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
LOW
2 - 1
STO
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STO
4 - 1
HUL
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
STO
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 1
STO
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 0
WHI
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 4
YEL
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
YEL
2 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
YEL
2 - 0
BAS
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |