FA Cup . 1/256
Global 4-3
Stourbridge vs Whitby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 1
STO
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
STO
1 - 1
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
STO
2 - 1
RFC
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
1 - 4
STO
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COA
1 - 2
STO
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 1
STO
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 1
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 3
WHI
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 1
GLO
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 3
MAT
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |