FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 9-3
Stourbridge vs Kendal Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
RED
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
STO
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
STO
5 - 0
BAN
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 1
STO
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kendal Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KEN
2 - 3
NOR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAN
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 0
BUX
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
KEN
3 - 3
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
KEN
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |