Stoke City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 4
STO
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
STO
1 - 1
PNE
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
WOL
2 - 0
STO
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
SHW
1 - 1
STO
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PNE
4 - 1
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SUN
1 - 0
SHW
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
IPS
3 - 1
SUN
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SUN
1 - 1
LEI
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 3
SUN
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |