Stoke City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
STO
1 - 0
SCU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
WRE
2 - 3
STO
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
SHW
3 - 1
STO
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
STO
1 - 1
WIG
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
STO
0 - 0
SHW
20%
24%
57%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WYC
5 - 3
REA
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
REA
1 - 1
OLD
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
REA
2 - 2
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
REA
1 - 0
CHE
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 1
REA
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |