Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 1
STO
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
STO
4 - 0
ROC
75%
18%
8%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RBL
1 - 2
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
LEI
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SWA
0 - 4
MUD
21%
24%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MUD
4 - 0
WHU
54%
24%
21%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUD
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 1
SAM
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |