Stoke City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 2
STO
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
WBA
1 - 1
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
STO
1 - 0
IPS
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
MUD
1 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
34%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
60%
25%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
DER
0 - 1
MUD
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 4
MUD
42%
28%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
IPS
1 - 1
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |