Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 1
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STO
1 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
STO
2 - 0
SWA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
24%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
SCP
67%
20%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 0
MAC
12%
22%
66%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAC
27%
26%
47%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |