Stoke City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
STO
2 - 3
STF
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
STO
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STF
1 - 1
STO
19%
23%
59%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STO
0 - 2
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
STO
10%
22%
68%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
QPR
2 - 1
LEE
37%
24%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
NTT
4 - 2
LEE
35%
26%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
LEE
0 - 2
HUL
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 2
BBU
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |